James Madison vs. Southern Miss odds, prediction by proven model

James Madison vs. Southern Miss odds, prediction by proven model

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James Madison travels to Hattiesburg, Miss., on Thursday night for a Sun Belt Conference showdown with Southern Miss, with kickoff from Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium set for 8 p.m. ET. The Dukes are favored in the latest odds, with James Madison listed as a 13.5-point road favorite against Southern Miss and an over/under of 57.5 points.

Betting Lines for James Madison Game

The betting lines for the matchup are as follows: James Madison is favored by 13.5 points against Southern Miss. The over/under for the total points scored in the game is set at 57.5. James Madison is also the clear favorite on the moneyline, with odds at -575, while Southern Miss is listed as a +425 underdog. According to a model that simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, the over on the 57.5-point total is predicted to hit in over 50% of the simulations.

Projected Player Performance

James Madison quarterback JC Evans is projected to throw for 255 yards and 1.7 touchdowns, while running back George Pettaway is projected to rush for 124 yards and 1.19 touchdowns. The model projects a combined 58 points for the game, supporting the prediction that the over will hit more than half the time.

Predicted Outcome

Machine learning models project a final score of James Madison 35-22 Southern Miss. These models assess more than 100 data points for each matchup, giving James Madison a win probability of 83.8% and Southern Miss a win probability of 16.2%. In addition to the total points prediction, the model also indicates that one side of the spread is expected to hit in more than 50% of its simulations. CBS Sports and Dimers both provide detailed analysis and picks for the game.

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