Trump Conditions Saudi Nuclear Deal On Abraham Accords Normalization

Donald Trump has thrown a newly signed civilian nuclear pact with Saudi Arabia into doubt, insisting the agreement is completely dependent on Riyadh normalising diplomatic relations with Israel by joining the Abraham Accords. The stunning intervention comes as the kingdom faces intensifying regional strikes and economic pressure from Iran.

The Abraham Accords Condition on the Saudi Nuclear Pact

The US and Saudi Arabia signed a landmark agreement designed to help the kingdom develop a civilian nuclear programme, providing Riyadh with a long-sought path toward domestic uranium enrichment.

Writing on his Truth Social platform, Trump stated that the deal will be approved but remains totally subject to Saudi Arabia joining the very respected and successful Abraham Accords. During Trump’s first term as US president, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain signed the original accords, resulting in a historic normalisation of relations with Israel. Sudan, Morocco, and Kazakhstan subsequently joined them as well.

Israeli Welcome and Regional Demands for a Palestinian State

Israel swiftly welcomed Trump’s statement regarding the diplomatic normalisation condition. Posting on X, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office described the prospect of Saudi Arabia joining the accords as an historic leap forward for peace in the Middle East, though the statement made no mention of the parallel nuclear agreement.

However, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has previously insisted that any rapprochement with Israel is only possible if Israel takes permanent steps toward enabling the establishment of a Palestinian state. The BBC reported that it was not immediately clear if the normalisation requirement was written into the text of the unreleased nuclear deal, or if Riyadh had agreed to the condition.

Uranium Enrichment Proliferation Concerns

The agreement itself envisions American companies playing a leading role in Saudi Arabia’s nuclear energy programme, including the potential construction of an American-led uranium enrichment facility following a joint study. Yet the partnership lacks the rigorous gold standard protocols found in many standard 123 agreements, which typically bar uranium enrichment and reprocessing while mandating regular inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Photo: middleeasteye.net

Those omissions have generated widespread anxiety among non-proliferation experts regarding future nuclear proliferation in an unstable Middle East. Rosemary Kelanic, director of the Middle East programme at the think-tank Defense Priorities, told the Financial Times that Washington had never helped another country enrich uranium domestically due to proliferation risks. Emma Belcher, president of Ploughshares, added that reaching nuclear agreements on a one-off basis sets a dangerous precedent when countries attempt to bypass standard inspection norms.

Iran’s Regional Campaign and Saudi Vulnerability

The nuclear pact arrives directly against the backdrop of a renewed US military campaign against Iran, placing Washington’s Gulf allies squarely in Tehran’s crosshairs. Saudi Arabia has faced severe battering from Iranian missile and drone strikes. Iran’s stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing Houthi attacks threatening the kingdom’s shipping lanes have intensified economic and security pressures on Riyadh.

Trump links landmark nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia to normalisation with Israel

Meanwhile, political debate in Washington has intensified over parallel diplomatic tracks with Iran. In discussions over a separate tentative nuclear deal with Tehran, former US President Barack Obama pushed back against demands that Iran recognise Israel as a precondition, calling such demands a fundamental misjudgment that goes beyond the proper scope of an arms control agreement.