Chiefs vs Falcons Picks, Predictions, Odds for NFL Week 10 Game Sunday - AZCentral

The Kansas City Chiefs head into Atlanta as narrow favorites for their Week 10 matchup, but the status of star quarterback Patrick Mahomes looms large over the betting lines and game plans.

AZCentral reported that the game is scheduled for Sunday, Nov. 15, at the Falcons’ Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff set for 11 a.m. MST on CBS and streaming via Fubo. Vegasodds.com noted that the opening odds have shifted as bettors weigh injury reports coming out of Kansas City.

Mahomes sustained an elbow scare during a 35-12 win over the Jets, where his right arm was bent backward before he walked off in pain at the end of the first half.

While he returned to finish the game, going 23 of 31 for 242 yards and two touchdowns, head coach Andy Reid described him as sore but otherwise fine, according to AZCentral. Vegasodds.com added that Mahomes was set for imaging on Monday to rule out ligament damage.

The betting market reacted immediately to the uncertainty. Vegasodds.com reported that the point spread came down from Kansas City -3.5 to -3, with the total dropping from 46.5 to 45 points at BetOnline.

BetMGM lists the Chiefs at -185 on the moneyline, while the Falcons sit at +150, according to AZCentral. ESPN gives the Chiefs a 76.3% chance to win, whereas Dimers projects a closer 25-21 outcome with a 63.9% win probability for Kansas City.

Chiefs vs falcons — Photo: vegasodds.com

Both teams carry distinct roster challenges into Sunday. AZCentral highlighted that the Chiefs leaned heavily on Kenneth Walker III against the Jets, resulting in 143 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns as the team ended a two-slide skid. Vegasodds.com noted that Walker rushed for 102 yards on 18 carries and added two touchdown receptions, building on a strong season with roughly 770 rushing yards.

Kansas City also faces concerns beyond the quarterback position. AZCentral pointed out injuries at receiver with Xavier Worthy dealing with a hamstring issue, alongside an ankle concern for right tackle Jaylen Moore and ongoing scrutiny surrounding kicker Harrison Butker. Vegasodds.com observed that if Worthy cannot play, the Chiefs lose their primary deep threat.

Atlanta returns home after a 34-17 loss to the Bengals in Madrid. AZCentral reported that the Falcons struggled to find offensive footing in Spain, though the return to Mercedes-Benz Stadium should help stabilize their ground game. Vegasodds.com noted that Michael Penix Jr. went 20 of 31 for 162 yards with a touchdown and an interception against Cincinnati. Turnovers have hampered Atlanta all season, with Penix totaling six interceptions and a lost fumble.

Despite the offensive struggles, Bijan Robinson remains a bright spot for the Falcons. Vegasodds.com reported that Robinson rushed for 100 yards and a touchdown in Madrid, boasting around 780 rushing yards on the season while carrying a heavier load due to Brian Robinson’s stint on injured reserve with a hamstring injury.

Bookies.com Bill Speros offered a positive outlook for the visitors, writing in AZCentral: Our model sees the Chiefs winning by 5 points, which offers value above this line. Speros added that the Chiefs have weathered their midseason storm while looking to avoid an offensive shootout.