The Dallas Mavericks host the undefeated Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday, October 28, at 8:30 p.m., in a matchup shifted by a wave of OKC injuries. While the Thunder enter 4-0, the loss of key defenders and rim protection gives a 2-2 Dallas squad a rare opening to disrupt a championship-caliber rotation.
It is a classic NBA timing fluke. The Oklahoma City Thunder have spent the last two seasons establishing themselves as a Western Conference power, racking up 132 regular-season wins and hanging a championship banner in the Paycom Center. But as they roll into the American Airlines Center, that depth is being tested by a brutal stretch of luck. The Thunder are missing foundational pieces, turning a projected blowout into a game where Dallas could actually punch above its weight.
Oklahoma City’s depth faces a stress test
The Thunder aren’t just missing a player or two; they are missing a defensive ecosystem. Jalen Williams is sidelined with a broken ankle and Cason Wallace is out with a torn labrum, both of whom could potentially miss the entire season. To make matters worse, the Thunder’s interior presence is gutted. Chet Holmgren is day-to-day with patellar tendonitis, and Alex Caruso is dealing with a right ankle sprain. Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber are unavailable due to surgery.
This creates a massive void in the paint. Without Holmgren patrolling the rim, the Mavericks have a clear path to attack. This is particularly dangerous given the current form of Cooper Flagg. The reigning Rookie of the Year is coming off a clinic against Miami where he posted 29 points, 11 assists, and 5 steals. Flagg is currently averaging 25.0 points per game, and without OKC’s usual rim protection, he has the green light to dominate the interior.
Kyrie Irving is questionable for the Dallas Mavericks’ game against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday with left knee injury management.Dallas listed 7 players, and Sergio De Larrea is out with a right knee sprain.Read more on @DALSportsJrnl: https://t.co/tkYS0UuulR
— https://x.com/GrantAfseth/status/2115207600018948241
The burden now falls heavily on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a supporting cast that includes Isaiah Hartenstein and rookie Aday Mara. Mara adds a layer of personal intrigue to the game, as he was a college teammate of Mavericks rookie Morez Johnson Jr. at Michigan last year.
The battle over the whistle
If the game is decided on the margins, it will likely happen at the free-throw line. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a master of drawing contact, but the numbers show a sudden dip in his efficiency. Last season, he averaged nine free-throw attempts per game; through the first four games of this season, that rate has been sliced in half, with only 18 total attempts. This may be the result of a league-wide “point of emphasis” regarding off-arm push-offs, a nuance that has historically favored SGA’s style of play.
While SGA is still scoring at a high clip—averaging over 27 points per game—his 3-point percentage is struggling at 28.6%. Dallas knows that if they can keep him off the line and force him to rely on the perimeter, they can keep the game within reach.
“We brought bodies to him,” Mavericks head coach Dusty May said of Dallas’ efforts to frustrate another similarly gravitational superstar in the fourth quarter of Monday’s win at the Miami Heat.
The strategy is simple: swarm. By using double-teams and varied defensive looks, Dallas aims to disrupt SGA’s rhythm. Zaccharie Risacher is the primary tool for this chaos. Despite a rough shooting night in Miami, Risacher provided elite defensive energy with three blocks and two steals in 30 minutes of action. If he can harass SGA into forced shots, the Mavericks can neutralize the Thunder’s primary engine.

Mavericks turnovers and injuries pose risks against OKC
The Mavericks are finding their footing, but they aren’t a finished product. While their offense is humming—shooting 49.4% from the field—they are prone to coughing up the ball, averaging 18.5 turnovers per game. This is a dangerous habit against an OKC team that is currently forcing 19.5 turnovers per game and holding opponents to just 100.8 points.
Dallas also has its own health concerns. Sergio de Larrea is out with a knee sprain, and both Kyrie Irving (injury management) and Naji Marshall (illness) are listed as questionable. However, the scale of loss is far heavier for the visitors.
📋 UPDATE: Chet Holmgren Ruled Out vs. Mavericks with Right Knee InjuryChet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) — Right knee injury, unspecified structureSeverity: UNKNOWNChet Holmgren has been ruled out for Oklahoma City's upcoming game against the Mavericks with a right knee…
— https://x.com/Paratrosinjury/status/2115271766314566032
| Team | Current Record | Key Absences | Primary Offensive Threat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 2-2 | S. de Larrea (Out), K. Irving (Questionable) | Cooper Flagg (25.0 PPG) |
| OKC Thunder | 4-0 | J. Williams, C. Wallace, C. Holmgren, A. Caruso | S. Gilgeous-Alexander (27.3 PPG) |
The historical trend favors Oklahoma City; they beat the Mavericks in all three meetings last year. But the 2024-25 season saw Dallas play the role of thorn in big brother’s side, winning three of four matchups. With the current injury report, the Mavericks aren’t just looking for a moral victory—they are looking to hand the Thunder their first loss of the season by exploiting a depleted defense.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. Wednesday at the American Airlines Center. The game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN and via radio on KRLD 105.3 The Fan.